"The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct."
"Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them."
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Source: Are You Happy Now?. Interview with Jennifer Robison, www.gallup.com. February 10, 2005.
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