"Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense"
"But they never notice the following inconsistency: this so-called worst-case event, when it happened, exceeded the worst case at the time."
3 likes
Source: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2016). “Incerto 4-Book Bundle: Fooled by Randomness The Black Swan The Bed of Procrustes Antifragile”, p.73, Random House
About the author
Same author
More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
"A Stoic is someone who transforms fear into prudence, pain into transformation, mistakes into initiation, and desire into undertaking."
"For many people, commuting is the worst part of the day, and policies that can make commuting shorter and more convenient would be a straightforward way to reduce minor but widespread suffering."
"Decomposition, for most, starts when they leave the free, social, and uncorrupted college life for the solitary confinement of professions and nuclear families."
"People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse."