"Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense"
"There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient, and a random one. In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing."
12 likes
Source: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2007.
About the author
Same author
More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
"A Stoic is someone who transforms fear into prudence, pain into transformation, mistakes into initiation, and desire into undertaking."
"For many people, commuting is the worst part of the day, and policies that can make commuting shorter and more convenient would be a straightforward way to reduce minor but widespread suffering."
"Decomposition, for most, starts when they leave the free, social, and uncorrupted college life for the solitary confinement of professions and nuclear families."
"People used to wear ordinary clothes weekdays, and formal attire on Sunday. Today it is the exact reverse."