"Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of abense"
"When an investor focuses on short-term investments, he or she is observing the variability of the portfolio, not the returns - in short, being fooled by randomness."
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Source: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2010). “The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fragility”, p.25, Random House
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